Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019

1. A broad low pressure system located over the eastern Florida Panhandle is producing disorganized shower activity. The low is forecast to move southward to southwestward and emerge over the

northeastern Gulf of Mexico later today. Once the system is over water, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for tropical cyclone formation, and a tropical depression is likely to develop by late Wednesday or Thursday while the system moves westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone forms, this system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For more information about the rainfall threat, please see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. Interests along the Gulf Coast from the Upper Texas coast to the western

Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

 

Forecaster Stewart