UPDATE: Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019

 1. A broad low-pressure area has emerged over Apalachee Bay in the northeast Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for tropical cyclone formation and development

over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late Wednesday or Thursday while the system moves westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit

reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low on Wednesday, if necessary. This disturbance has the potential to produce heavy rainfall from the Upper Texas Coast to the Florida Panhandle during the next several days. In addition, this system could produce wind and storm surge impacts later this week or this weekend from Louisiana to the Upper Texas coast, and interests along the Gulf Coast should continue to monitor its progress. For more information, please see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

 

Forecaster Stewart