NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:


  1. A non-tropical low pressure system located about 1000 miles east of Bermuda is producing winds to near gale force. This system could still become a tropical or subtropical storm while it moves slowly westward through today. However, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further development by tonight.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.


  1. Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low pressure that is producing gale-force winds. This system is forecast to strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of the United States during the next day or so. Environmental conditions are now forecast to be less conducive for significant subtropical or tropical cyclone development through the end of the week as it meanders offshore the United States. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid- Atlantic and northeastern United States coasts through late week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


  1. A small area of low pressure located about 250 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina is producing showers and thunderstorms well east of the center. Upper level winds are only marginally favorable for some additional development today. By tonight, the system is forecast to merge with the low off the east coast of the United States.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Latto/McElroy