NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 1 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula is
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and this
system is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, and Belize during the next day or so, spreading across western Cuba, South Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. Southwestern Atlantic northeast of the Bahamas:
A weak surface trough located around 200 miles northeast of the central Bahamas is producing disorganized shower activity as it
interacts with an upper-level trough. Surface pressures are currently high across the area, and significant development of this
system appears unlikely as it moves generally east-northeastward over the next several days away from the southeastern United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3, respectively.
The list of names for 2022 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Alex AL-leks Lisa LEE-suh
Bonnie BAH-nee Martin MAR-tin
Colin KAH-lihn Nicole nih-KOHL
Danielle dan-YELL Owen OH-uhn
Earl URR-ull Paula PAHL-luh
Fiona fee-OH-nuh Richard RIH-churd
Gaston ga-STAWN Shary SHAHR-ee
Hermine her-MEEN Tobias toh-BEE-uss
Ian EE-an Virginie vir-JIN-ee
Julia JOO-lee-uh Walter WALL-tur
Karl KAR-ull
Forecaster Brown/Bucci
