Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Thu Jun 1 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northeastern Gulf of Mexico (AL91):

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure

over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico have increased and become

better organized during the overnight hours. Environmental

conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development

over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or

storm could form over that time span as the system meanders over the

northeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, by this weekend environmental

conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional

development as the system drifts southward, likely remaining

offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane

Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today,

if necessary.

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Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall could occur over

portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Additional

information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in

products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast

office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather

Prediction Center.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which

will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number of

named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3,

respectively.

The list of names for 2023 is as follows:

Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation

--------------------------------------------------------------------

--

Arlene ar-LEEN Lee lee

Bret bret Margot MAR-go

Cindy SIN-dee Nigel NY-juhl

Don dahn Ophelia o-FEEL-ya

Emily EH-mih-lee Philippe fee-LEEP

Franklin FRANK-lin Rina REE-nuh

Gert ger Sean shawn

Harold HAIR-uld Tammy TAM-ee

Idalia ee-DAL-ya Vince vinss

Jose ho-Zay Whitney WHIT-nee

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