NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 29 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
East of the Windward Islands:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea to the north of Venezuela.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
1. Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is forecast to move slowly westward and approach the coast of Texas today. The disturbance has not become any better organized since yesterday, however some slow development is still possible and it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast before it moves inland tonight or early Thursday. Regardless of development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas coast for the next few days. For more information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products issued by your National Weather Service office. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Slow development of the wave is possible while it moves west-northwestward for the next few days. The wave is forecast to move over the Windward Islands late Friday or early Saturday and then over the eastern Caribbean Sea by the weekend, where further
development is unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
