NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 18 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms is associated with a tropical wave located over northern Guatemala. This system is forecast to move across Central America and southeastern Mexico through tonight before emerging over the Bay of Campeche on Friday, where an area of low pressure could form. After that, additional slow development of this system is possible while it moves northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Beven
