NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 26 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure stretching from the central Caribbean northward to the southwestern Atlantic continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual subtropical development of this system over the next few days while it drifts northward. The system is then forecast to meander over the subtropical western Atlantic to the west or southwest of Bermuda. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development by the end of the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Eastern Caribbean:
An area of low pressure could form over the eastern Caribbean Sea this weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development as the disturbance moves generally westward or west-northwestward into the central Caribbean early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart
