NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles has increased since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for additional gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves generally
west-northwestward over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Southwestern Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far western Atlantic near the coasts of Georgia and northeastern Florida are associated with a weak area of low pressure that has formed just east of Jacksonville. This system is moving north-northwestward and is forecast to move inland over north-eastern Florida and eastern Georgia today, and additional development is not expected. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over northeastern Florida, eastern Georgia, and por-tions of eastern South Carolina during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is as-sociated with a tropical wave and broad area of low pressure. This system is forecast to move west-ward over Central America later today or tonight, and significant development is not anticipated. Re-gardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Nicaragua and Honduras during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Forecaster Brown
