Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin, located over the east-central Caribbean Sea, on Tropical Depression Gert, located a few hundred miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Harold, located just offshore of south Texas.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form later this week or over the weekend while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the eastern and central Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:

two atl 2d0The remnants of former Tropical Storm Emily are located over the central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. Although development is unlikely in the next day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions, some development is possible late this week or this weekend when the system moves northward over the subtropical central Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin

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