NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Ernesto located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.
1. A tropical wave located about 750 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph toward the Windward Islands. By late Saturday, unfavorable environmental conditions should limit the chances for additional development while the system moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system is
likely to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser Antilles during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Brown
