TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK 800 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
northeast of the Central Bahamas is moving northwestward at about
10 mph. This system has become slightly better organized since
yesterday, and it could still become a subtropical or tropical
cyclone before it merges with a cold front over the western Atlantic
Friday night. A NOAA reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the area this afternoon. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Forecaster Pasch

The Daily Herald

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