NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Nov 3 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Lisa, located inland over southeastern Mexico, and on Hurricane Martin, located over the central North Atlantic.
1. Northwestern Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a weak non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for slow subtropical or tropical development of this system during the next few days as it moves slowly southward today and then turns westward by the weekend. The disturbance is expected to merge with a larger system developing to its southwest by the end of the weekend and further development is not anticipated at that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
2. Southwestern Atlantic:
A large non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop this weekend over the northeastern Caribbean sea and southwestern Atlantic. The system is expected to initially be very broad and disorganized, but environmental conditions could support gradual subtropical or tropical development beginning early next week while it moves generally northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
