NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic about 1100 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. En-vironmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression will likely form during the next 2-3 days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central and western tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Blake