NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Caribbean Sea:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased somewhat in association with a small area of low pressure located over the central Caribbean Sea. However, environmental dry air is still likely to pre-vent significant development of this system as it begins to drift slowly westward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a front over the central portion of the Atlantic basin during the next couple of days. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for this system to gradually acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics during the latter part of this week while it moves generally eastward across the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
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Forecaster Papin
