NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Florida Peninsula and Offshore Southeast U.S. (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure over the Florida peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally condu-cive, some slow development is possible while the system moves northeastward offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast tonight through late week. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across portions of the Florida peninsula during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form over the weekend across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development early next week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Kelly
