Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical Weather Outlook

 

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

 

  1. A large area of disturbed weather, associated with the remnants of eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, is located over the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico. This disturbance is forecast to move northwestward over the southeastern portion of the Bay of Campeche later today or tonight where environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support development, and a new tropical depression is likely to form within within the next day or so. The system is then forecast to drift west or west-southwest over the southern Bay of Campeche through the middle of the week. Interests along the coast of the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days.

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* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

 

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30.  Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3, respectively.

 

The list of names for 2020 is as follows:

 

Name           Pronunciation    Name            Pronunciation

-------------------------------------------------------------

Arthur         AR-thur          Laura           LOOR-ruh

Bertha         BUR-thuh         Marco           MAR-koe

Cristobal      krees-TOH-bahl   Nana            NA-na

Dolly          DAH-lee          Omar            OH-mar

Edouard        ed-DWARD         Paulette        pawl-LET

Fay            fay              Rene            re-NAY

Gonzalo        gohn-SAH-loh     Sally           SAL-ee

Hanna          HAN-uh           Teddy           TEHD-ee

Isaias         ees-ah-EE-ahs    Vicky           VIH-kee

Josephine      JOH-seh-feen     Wilfred         WILL-fred

Kyle           KY-ull

 

Two tropical storms, Arthur and Bertha, already formed this year in May. The next named storm that develops this season will be Cristobal.

 

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