NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central and Western Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depres-sion is likely to form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, the disturbance is expected to meander over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend and begin moving slowly, generally northwestward, by early next week. Inter-ests across the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...Medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Roberts
