Tropical Weather Outlook for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Weather Outlook for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:

A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:

A trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Greater Antilles and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

North Atlantic:

A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 400 miles west of the western Azores is producing limited shower activity. Some subtropical development is possible while the low moves generally eastward during the next few days. Additional information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

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Forecaster Kelly

The Daily Herald

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