WASHINGTON--Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 45% to 41% in
a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Thursday that showed the vice president sparking new
enthusiasm among voters and shaking up the race ahead of the Nov. 5 election.
The 4 percentage point advantage among registered voters was wider than a 1 point lead
Harris held over the former president in a late July Reuters/Ipsos poll. The new poll, which
was conducted in the eight days ended Wednesday and had a 2 percentage point margin of
error, showed Harris picking up support among women and Hispanics.
Harris led Trump by 49% to 36% - or 13 percentage points - among both women voters and
Hispanic voters. Across four Reuters/Ipsos polls conducted in July, Harris had a 9 point lead
among women and a 6 point lead among Hispanics.
Trump led among white voters and men, both by similar margins as in July, though his lead
among voters without a college degree narrowed to 7 points in the latest survey, down from
14 points in July.
The findings illustrate how the U.S. presidential race has been shaken up over the summer.
President Joe Biden, 81, folded his flailing campaign on July 21 after a disastrous debate
performance against Trump sparked widespread calls from his fellow Democrats to abandon
his re-election bid.
Since then, Harris has gained ground against Trump in national polls and those in critical
swing states. While national surveys including Reuters/Ipsos' give important signals on the
views of the electorate, the state-by-state results of the Electoral College determine the
winner, with a handful of battleground states likely to be decisive.
In the seven states where the 2020 election was closest - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia,
Arizona, North Carolina, Michigan and Nevada - Trump had a 45% to 43% lead over Harris
among registered voters in the poll.
A separate Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll published later on Thursday showed that
Harris was either leading or tied with Trump in each of those states. That poll showed Harris
led Trump by 2 percentage points among registered voters across the seven states and was
ahead by 1 point — a statistical tie — among likely voters. The margin of error was 1
percentage point across the seven states.
